Clik here to view.
A few comments on democracy indices and Turkey
I am grateful to the feedback on my previous post, whether it has been in public or in private. I think of the V-Dem data as an important contribution to how social scientists can measure institutions,...
View ArticleClik here to view.
Picking Regional Winners and Losers in New Turkey
The Turkish Statistical Agency recently published a revised set of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) series, with some rather striking consequences for Turkey’s economy. One less covered aspect of the new...
View ArticleClik here to view.
Constructing growth in New Turkey
The Turkish Statistical Institute recently released a revision to its GDP series (here and here), with some noteworthy consequences. Not only did the new series produce an upward revision of the level...
View ArticleClik here to view.
Is New Turkey’s Growth Model From Outer Space?
The previous post focused the extent to which Turkey’s revised GDP data changed the recent history of economic growth in Turkey. A particularly striking fact of the new series is how much higher the...
View ArticleClik here to view.
Will the Real Real GDP in Turkey please stand up?
In the previous two posts on Turkey’s revised GDP statistics I showed 1) how revised GDP growth numbers diverge from the older version after 2009, 2) the importance of construction investments, and 3)...
View ArticleClik here to view.
Asset prices and Turkey’s revised GDP growth
A curious aspect of the new GDP series (which I’ve covered here, here, and here) coming out of Turkey is the divergence between GDP growth and the stock market. Whereas official GDP statistics shows...
View ArticleClik here to view.
Turkey’s purge is accentuating the gender bias in labor markets and...
A central challenge for the Turkish economy in avoiding falling into a middle-income trap is to achievea shift away from (what the World Bank has labeled) a “know-who” toward a “know-how” economy. The...
View ArticleClik here to view.
The Curious Case of the Vanishing Never-AKPers in Southeastern Turkey
There are a number of striking features of Sunday’s referendum in Turkey, which resulted in a narrow victory (51.4% being the official “YES” vote share at the time of writing this blog post) for the...
View ArticleClik here to view.
Ballots, Blocks, and Bullets (and Bulldozers) – The Vote in Eastern Turkey
Since the referendum last Sunday, there has been much discussion over the relatively high support for the YES-vote in Turkey’s predominantly-Kurdish Eastern part of the country. To give a quick...
View ArticleClik here to view.
The EBRD’s Autocratic Commitments
Disclaimer: The views herein are strictly my own. I am grateful for comments from and discussions with a number of current and former EBRD employees. [Updated as of Dec 3, 2020. Now includes...
View Article
